Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:17:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
76% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 974.56
Unexplained QUAI: 305.25
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,279.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1280 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (24% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net sender
Unknown type
657.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
657.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
232.04 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
Net sender
Unknown type
194.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
61.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 657.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
4,000,260.03 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:16:30 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,279.8 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:17:42 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:15:18 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
2,815.47 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:18:53 P.M.
-3 min
10 tx
1,491.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:14:07 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
199.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:20:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:12:55 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
60.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:21:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
657.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:17:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
194.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:17:51 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001d0060f2c9d89d5d201732af449a3a6525c72f2dd60f9b0372295ef2b9ad56
61.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:17:24 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0076005f8a09b8682288e1c151b460f0e49cc072d0fb45593addf3118ea2e747
657.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:17:22 P.M.
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0023cee5346115b9567fb7b97f7713d8ca44c5a2abbaffecd6378a037382
37.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:17:17 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004c005c22d8b2e8b9fe83b92d2a0a88f0e41aa528f9ad0e5789437c664a275b
24.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:17:17 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003d0060d748d5b15f11826abb052a390adfe92aea5e557d1e322c7cc367eb5d