Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:15:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,000,260.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06 • 0x0050AF0000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06 • 0x0050AF0000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Net sender
Unknown type
4,000,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Quai Burned
Net receiver
Contract
4,000,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
174.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
104.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
69.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:15:18 P.M.
-1 min
10 tx
1,491.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:14:07 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:12:55 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,000,260.03 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:16:30 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
946.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:11:43 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,279.8 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:17:42 P.M.
-4 min
17 tx
790.76 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:10:31 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
2,815.47 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:18:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,000,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:15:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
To: Quai Burned
0x0050AF0000000000000000000000000000000000
Contract
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
4,000,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:15:34 P.M.
From: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
To: Quai Burned
0x0050AF0000000000000000000000000000000000
Contract
Tx: 0x001c006374fa97086bce580c54d4f8d59babffdef749f099f5d3e0a70a563ea5
69.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:15:34 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00380049f6ef242a0ef1aff97f61ba46ea0a4c05b519cd5becf74892b11cd780
104.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:15:34 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b002f367f77118382c0772c31acd5cab80b18a8b7d218b725abc241f8d900
28.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:15:34 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007500155b5092258145f938ed2343f96e43d36cea4b5923939ec2a72eb6de4e
56.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:15:34 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002f003bfcfa78ccdfc581afb3db40d8da4fc65a536778f167a693c3154dcf34
