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Inspect spike

Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 4:11:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

93% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 883.66

Unexplained QUAI: 63.27

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume

Relative context

1.2x above local average

0.4x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

946.94 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004F828CB0216A8E7e7491B49e10B9a1ef7Ee701.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 947 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004F828CB0216A8E7e7491B49e10B9a1ef7Ee701.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

864.82 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004F828CB0216A8E7e7491B49e10B9a1ef7Ee701

Net sender

Unknown type

432.95 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2

Net sender

Unknown type

112.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3

Net sender

Unknown type

108.61 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58

Net sender

Unknown type

107.33 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 864.82 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes

Selected minute

17 tx

790.76 QUAI • 28 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:10:31 P.M.

+1 min

7 tx

946.94 QUAI • 21 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:11:43 P.M.

-2 min

Best candidate52 tx

2,532.74 QUAI • 67 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:09:19 P.M.

+2 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 13 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:12:55 P.M.

-3 min

2 tx

101.27 QUAI • 15 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:08:07 P.M.

+3 min

10 tx

1,491.26 QUAI • 24 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:14:07 P.M.

-4 min

52 tx

590.64 QUAI • 65 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:06:55 P.M.

+4 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 14 addresses

09/20/2026, 4:15:18 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

432.95 QUAI

Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:39 P.M.

QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1

From: 0x004F828CB0216A8E7e7491B49e10B9a1ef7Ee701

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions

112.1 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:39 P.M.

From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x000400373410fa684358e6d0257dc8467cd3e4d44e898e35cfe9bab3c55a94c5

Open txWallet profile

108.61 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:39 P.M.

From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x00300033f32dc6dd5423ce9b6e56de4a57203327e75b3d370120c6316836929d

Open txWallet profile

107.33 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:39 P.M.

From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0021007db379ef739a2f6cf3bbecd2892bbd89ffb54c93fda18e74814004d332

Open txWallet profile

103.83 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:39 P.M.

From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x00020021f2a38d0509ac1e1a54fac57db2c367160856242eb048aa57ea6c9056

Open txWallet profile

432.95 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:39 P.M.

From: 0x004F828CB0216A8E7e7491B49e10B9a1ef7Ee701

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0011003f124176b124fb293bf716e3d0c441070db785a500927e310078d686f1

Open txWallet profile

18.84 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/20/2026, 4:11:02 P.M.

From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Tx: 0x004b005e6f322154436fddaf34d81c259e51a4e48cf25aaeef6d3705af74107e

Open tx