Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:02:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:03:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
95% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 214.87
Unexplained QUAI: 12.03
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
226.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 227 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
121.51 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
93.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
65.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
56.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
226.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:02:08 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
6,795.36 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:00:56 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
214.87 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:03:20 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:59:44 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
355.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:58:33 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
56.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:04:31 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
283.33 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:05:43 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
639.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:57:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
93.36 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:02:48 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
93.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:02:48 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004c00674db52a3eddf62e1a5067a3bbb99cd7448ca49635218bb59ce99e0da8
65.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:02:48 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000c006ef19a9610d4b7685fa14385feca610cf1b1b4bd66911630dea82f179f
56.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:02:08 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0012005e4ae8becb6adc3d884399b463796279ad257b5dd731a937f97d83452f