Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:00:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:01:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 794.72
Unexplained QUAI: 6,000.64
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
5.8x above local average
19x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
6,795.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0060C7d37517914cB666f96Ee9430f89b71Aef59 • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 6795 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0060C7d37517914cB666f96Ee9430f89b71Aef59 • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0060C7d37517914cB666f96Ee9430f89b71Aef59
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
94.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:59:44 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
355.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:58:33 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
6,795.36 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:00:56 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
226.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:02:08 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
639.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:57:20 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
214.87 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:03:20 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
793.62 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:56:08 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
285.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:54:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
600 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:00:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0060C7d37517914cB666f96Ee9430f89b71Aef59
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
94.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:00:38 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000a007cc27969f553d5477494739865d2fe30c31c61ed54f8022332afee5cbf
600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:00:38 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0060C7d37517914cB666f96Ee9430f89b71Aef59
Tx: 0x002300474184204de0b007003393cbb672fedd339b786e7b56cd608e46923f2e
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:00:09 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0060C7d37517914cB666f96Ee9430f89b71Aef59
Tx: 0x002e0056caf8948118b4b511d69241e7e1abaa1677f19fc2e0ae05c187815744