Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:48:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,621.69
Unexplained QUAI: 19.8
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,641.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 1641 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,052.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,052.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
Net sender
Unknown type
424.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
Net receiver
Unknown type
424.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
77.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
446.9 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:47:46 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:46:35 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,641.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:48:58 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
173.07 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:50:10 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
523.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:45:24 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,193.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:51:22 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
781.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:44:12 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
415.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:43:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,052.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:48:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
424.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:48:35 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
Tx: 0x0068001602943ff2294d550b2c4fdcb243f0d9b2a52b98138af25e85252fc0bb
66.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:48:35 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00240042c2f0a1cbe66440c0d14865bcceb9034df69fd38e8063ae27c8524cdf
77.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:48:35 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0027002adaa9428417cf251b92f8ed150a9f2bc1986690c333de998edfef7f1c
1,052.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x0057006fbbe23399619a7cf3b5c727ff57d7a24907c8ec4a9d273b62f0143b61
