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Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 3:44:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 3:44:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 876.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.9x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
781.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4 • 0x000E084537AD6F58F2b11C8608504A1C75962C4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 782 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4 • 0x000E084537AD6F58F2b11C8608504A1C75962C4b.
StratumX miner -> 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
Net sender
Unknown type
581 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000E084537AD6F58F2b11C8608504A1C75962C4b
Net receiver
Unknown type
581 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
235 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Net receiver
Unknown type
235 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
60.94 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
StratumX miner → 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
2 repeated flows • 235 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

581 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:44:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
To: 0x000E084537AD6F58F2b11C8608504A1C75962C4b

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
60.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:44:43 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002c0053c63abb166138c0da91a4e2a12d53fb0f4f861f7c3510544aa861e14e
135 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:44:43 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x007000219bcc951f26f1340ceeddc5b44db24d7ce2d2278c143639f25e1e1c5b
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:44:11 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x006d005b37ce7f6cc9031d4f5e95bf30cd92b86fcb5d5ec58b0231eafb4a0fe3
581 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:44:03 P.M.
From: 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
To: 0x000E084537AD6F58F2b11C8608504A1C75962C4b
Tx: 0x001f005c061851bba6fe925f3a034db2c95164d5475d069420ed7055b9fabc58