Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:43:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 200.81
Unexplained QUAI: 214.53
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
415.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 415 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
112.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
70.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
70.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
17.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
415.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:43:01 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
687.14 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:41:49 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
781.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:44:12 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
189.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:40:37 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
523.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:45:24 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
124.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:39:25 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:46:35 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
408.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:38:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.78 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:43:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
17.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:43:52 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0068003adc44e200a302b4732972aafa38a91351d3435e767e2e71f1164f3d8e
112.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:43:50 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005f005fcd76875f12743e4e64e9204a161ca0b2d6732a23124be2d690056100
70.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:43:50 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00130000d3de5718993a3078cd0d2dd222e0c0ec728eb317aae48e2019da5622