Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:41:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
93% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 639.78
Unexplained QUAI: 47.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
5.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
687.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45 • 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 687 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45 • 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Net receiver
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
239.78 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
109.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
94.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
189.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:40:37 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
687.14 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:41:49 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
124.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:39:25 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
415.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:43:01 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
408.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:38:13 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
781.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:44:12 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
99.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
523.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:45:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:41:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:41:59 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x00080043b9f76b2c3308a79f23a58f8bd67e95a35fb5fb78c6b52f2326848f76
109.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:41:42 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b000ae39df521d2bc47db3ddddd9d532438d916bb2b9548d44caa95941106
35.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:41:20 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0040005172afb1acd9be3e817fe5f00e98f44be7c1bed5bf188ce551aba0f937
94.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:41:20 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000200453cadca6a77281da6b3d0978f44eefc43a97d466f6beaf917ffda0c49
350 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:41:11 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0013003f07fc5f951e19fe0cc758b025685bbb7ddab04486ae87df1b725df81b