Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:40:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 229.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
189.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 190 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
144.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
97.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
48.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
47.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
124.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:39:25 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
189.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:40:37 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
408.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:38:13 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
687.14 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:41:49 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
99.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
415.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:43:01 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
5,348.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:35:48 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
781.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:44:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
97.37 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
97.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007e000661499e314b376625c5f128d85f48cb57d93045849f04b9202f4f40f1
36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:33 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0057006d1ad9bf4afde797f6af11e7962cf41688ff2c1f39f5480d6c23164943
47.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:24 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003b0059959eccdb4a2be29534f8e213e4883de8b03f55a18979c898864770b0
48.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:24 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x005b004cb447a81247089467c431de82af0f2f35e2acd5f3aca5eb3172213023
