Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 408.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
99.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 100 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c.
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c -> 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
180.55 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
116.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
Net sender
Unknown type
94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Net receiver
Unknown type
94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
90.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c → 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
2 repeated flows • 94 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
99.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
5,348.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:35:48 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
408.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:38:13 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,509.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:34:37 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
124.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:39:25 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate8 tx
6,460.52 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:33:25 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
189.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:40:37 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
264.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:32:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
116.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:52 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x004c003ade048c0b53fab025dc5a6dc66df7efdf80acec2d8ae2dfc63bb15482
36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:25 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0043005751bd2eeac7524f990b796138314015bcfa7d268f4edcc0664e4e08e0
90.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:25 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0035001720a4e23bcc4bcc57e5db80bdbf166da3d91cae9459075e674e55768e
43.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:11 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0058001dc9c4bc32699a6d70d30c7d860b9ef9f4948e293d511a626f899f2c77
116.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0037000db3b29663e6fc64a1f647e0266d6862d9994a1b2650bc540ba3cd86f2
63.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005b001e6d4887362848d7f00666fd1844cd2728f32395f30c7a10481b30c5b8