Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:12:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,401.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
1,401.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1402 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
586.17 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
Net sender
Unknown type
142.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
119.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 586.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
414.64 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:11:52 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
+1 min
16 tx
1,448.71 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:13:04 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
33.72 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:14:16 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
842.93 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:09:29 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
471.74 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:15:28 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate63 tx
17,101.67 QUAI • 83 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:08:15 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:07:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
80.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005800794b5179fc15f72226253fd867159071aa5c47d4e0cea940fec89dc7e3
72.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002900073f04e0e7920f8c7544e300b12278bfb7bdf763cd2092f10ffebca0c4
82.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0004004b594c3b97ba3e7fd1ba996e2225d0c67bf81370842d7888f4a270c750
108.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a00673dbfcd1b58d957f59f51f6a4adcf4864e56a699686400c18bbc1b9f6
110.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002007964e0ce4058e56833f3b9c50e50f235a44ca48ea350663c529a1fa305
142.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0068cd2862db32dae9e8d15b2b2dd17c43396b0855ccdba25c1d97cce37c
105.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d001783d7b4fe4e2b3b452655ac221d814b1951078e5279a44fb60ed3e7b6
119.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069003ddf8181e4a7d7e17c27c2d34763034194876e37ee885c89bb39d23294
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x00470053f0D929F3B40bf278917Fd14BaDC90Cc8
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Tx: 0x00200055154f82c7abdaabdc5d7a4dd5af7bcf946dafd3e83d94cef029c28b1e
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
Tx: 0x005b001924bf14e4293d0d645bb04788499d7571009efbac334428e094716ad4
9.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00090076c7f1a3c9ed67af29f37c9350e2d7b3ba8ad4fa639d629bed951dff9a
5.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00740022619a7bcb78001df22f8da334714321005d19e0f117c9fc76dff0c359
12.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0030002261fbe3de85e6cd613ab5f2f29aa4b68a35097aec898d26e66b336529
15.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c001188d552778722d6e8d9c99f0df6aa9925be4aa6a694dd1db5776fc1a0
12.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a00745651ceb0b74d38fdc510cff427fa58502fc0be89275f5988ca6c8bdb
