Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:04:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,648.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
70.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:03:27 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:04:38 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
15,066.26 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:02:15 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,826.37 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:05:49 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
123.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:01:04 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:07:01 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
214.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:59:53 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate63 tx
17,101.67 QUAI • 83 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:08:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
Tx: 0x000a0034da7b7001a54ce94fe282c8c24654c0b54b3b970458ca48eb1b509ca6
70.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00450063227d8356836a82cf40bfe4903c9b6bdd8bcf893665251058ccaf5b82
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x000022215254FF0544217c0f4d2542fA9c970CeC
Tx: 0x007b0003a6df80d0772e3992b500d919d37505e174b73a50b020db6b60190abb
23.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0017005c1f589b80d8c302b7382e55719c3a53eec475253e4ab723c8e383215d
49.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0056003ad25b659317e8d0566b0ade444e71a038563d88e63c97b8b8f50af12d
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0010002e0185e585a66937ef5e7e21432d12f294ea72b0e0c0ce3292298e2add