Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:59:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 214.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
4.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
214.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c • 0x0029912fb39f713b70Bb76D9d15e255B4A72dc73.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 214 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c • 0x0029912fb39f713b70Bb76D9d15e255B4A72dc73.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
Net sender
Unknown type
120 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029912fb39f713b70Bb76D9d15e255B4A72dc73
Net receiver
Unknown type
120 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
94.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
327.82 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:58:41 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
214.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:59:53 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
50.73 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:57:29 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
123.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:01:04 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
111.91 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:56:17 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
15,066.26 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:02:15 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
220.56 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:55:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:03:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
120 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:59:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0029912fb39f713b70Bb76D9d15e255B4A72dc73
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
94.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:59:44 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0016006cbfda3e0208e1d5b725857b296389ce2513610563fdccfddbaae50485
120 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:59:23 P.M.
From: 0x0032eE26A2ec39Cbf3C977f863f34e9bfD69B26c
To: 0x0029912fb39f713b70Bb76D9d15e255B4A72dc73
Tx: 0x0004004f92f015f5d0420dc7957785020a7c946f3098f006dc359244f1ab76f7
