Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:13:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,297.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
400x previous minute
247x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
40,245.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 40246 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 58
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net sender
Unknown type
39,994.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
39,994.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
237.32 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
90.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
74.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
40,245.54 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:13:18 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
100.57 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
-2 min
9 tx
3,297.04 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:10:55 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
162.71 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:14:30 P.M.
-3 min
48 tx
1,063.47 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:09:43 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
2,912.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:15:42 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
40,308.51 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:08:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:16:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
39,994.45 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
72.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:50 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0020007540fada86f78e0ffc3b9e4b0a7038049b0bc4d1d598c51949f8e17ff4
90.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:50 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0042002a86ef46b617b50532648e24887ed9bf4d820b6f8942b89842154ae73c
32.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:06 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002a005f046b1a48b2d508e32b4bb3799711458ed91f8c2f1e01296320fcc4fa
74.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:06 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d002f1eac6101d0ce09958cb97cba4927387d622c1ce8660c9d426b56340f
15.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:06 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c00305657ba5b6a1943df9c5803790277a3782f874e92d049ad50beaced17
17.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:06 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002d006c472d82a7ab12e2b1e6d8a4d23993a822474f5632630135182c10c56d
39,994.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:13:06 P.M.
From: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001400710bf568f0e33c4881eb95e3577383dc804ed64bb827cbb9e8cb1ff30d
