Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
98% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,216.75
Unexplained QUAI: 80.29
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
3,297.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE • 0x003b1E8d5e9001fB7f10a3f9B4C93168d6b9eD2d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 3297 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE • 0x003b1E8d5e9001fB7f10a3f9B4C93168d6b9eD2d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Net sender
Unknown type
2,800 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b1E8d5e9001fB7f10a3f9B4C93168d6b9eD2d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,800 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
274.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
97.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4
Net sender
Unknown type
91.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
48 tx
1,063.47 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:09:43 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
40,308.51 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:08:30 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,297.04 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:10:55 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
100.57 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
614.57 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:07:16 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
40,245.54 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:13:18 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
25.56 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:06:04 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
20,045.4 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:04:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,800 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
To: 0x003b1E8d5e9001fB7f10a3f9B4C93168d6b9eD2d
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
71.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:42 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0043005608d99ff2720ba92d5a113168c7ecaa1f08e76c77eb559e1063f4f99c
49.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:42 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x000b004e3c0089ac7704bd62f4892d463bbc64396b4f08c47cd9e7cdb57ae26a
2,800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:36 P.M.
From: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
To: 0x003b1E8d5e9001fB7f10a3f9B4C93168d6b9eD2d
Tx: 0x000d004fe34641b0784bd907bec0abb84d7f5e1d30860f8925314a0b1efa0a28
60.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078004a8f1574ad587243dcd3f7a88b00b30abf4af76e8ef30e4a00a6c323da
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000c00065d5c72e28e23639b1ec5291255b29332126c283f45aa51c95e2cd576
91.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:24 P.M.
From: 0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005b00588102f9f411374e02425618c972bc731bedc2930d4e86668e335c3a36
97.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:24 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002b000a3f6181de5b45e2d941267d7f5aa4149c1ba52d242bdb48883bf4fca9
44.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:24 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0055006cadb44c8c8cb146efd8ba082a3ad34ccfd8a63c31676577780cda676e
