Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:59:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,785.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
20x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
8,785.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0043FFbBc53bB7585eC78eF43C059D1764FA1254 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 8785 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0043FFbBc53bB7585eC78eF43C059D1764FA1254 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0043FFbBc53bB7585eC78eF43C059D1764FA1254
Net sender
Unknown type
8,697.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,697.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
77.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
77.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 10 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,697.48 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
140.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:58:54 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
445.07 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:57:43 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
8,785.03 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:00:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
8,880.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:56:31 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
126.39 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:01:18 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:55:20 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
192.82 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:02:30 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
374.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:54:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,697.48 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:59:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0043FFbBc53bB7585eC78eF43C059D1764FA1254
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:59:59 P.M.
From: 0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0053000e2fde841111c979fbdf6367447b5c5050e607e243aef03ff9d54c8450
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:59:32 P.M.
From: 0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0029004091eacb2b84a7722e8f7dceb1d41aec8ced25f4d3842a6035baf50ff9
77.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:59:26 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c002037fda2c12eefd2cb7b5dd1529f355547b0188cb388bf11295eda17c8
8,697.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:59:26 P.M.
From: 0x0043FFbBc53bB7585eC78eF43C059D1764FA1254
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c00451842c9264865614f50010846d1e547ffdf71e8b28d58b6a15b7a0f45