Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:53:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 374.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
6.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
374.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 375 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
240.84 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
112.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
106.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
72.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:52:57 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
57.86 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:51:45 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
374.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:54:08 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
225.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:50:33 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:55:20 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,100.84 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:49:22 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
8,880.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:56:31 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
112.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:48:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:53:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
112.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:53:07 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006900030faf63fb03ebd7e478cddb05da197438b1751a1b3f3ae072b2daf336
72.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:53:07 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005f001289d28788def88e5b5ef0ac93c34a5411a6c0d97f8905091ae83a46fd
106.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:53:07 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00220064bab1005cfa45465ab5a1dbaa97a52bfd0c63e23a0028206e8c3b199f
60.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:53:07 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000e00344d8d88f13d8c22c27e3d35128bc0e331ab4364076fbfd73e8741b426
21.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:53:07 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003a007a6aef0762c21c5a86f622bd7b91e4723df8dee234f3381c5bd2e234a0
