Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:49:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 253.02
Unexplained QUAI: 19,847.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
7.6x above local average
178x previous minute
89x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
20,100.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20101 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
253.02 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
106.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
76.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
27.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
24.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
20,100.84 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:49:22 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
112.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:48:09 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
267.7 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:46:57 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
225.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:50:33 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
201.07 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:45:46 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
57.86 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:51:45 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
105.26 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:44:34 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:52:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
106.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:49:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
24.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:49:56 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00530000db19473411aea3a1e88b4d419af8794cdf15d06fa82aae98e9489b54
76.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:49:56 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003400581c49bde260cc7d47f53264c3983846f718124161ce16df11f3787c48
106.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:49:56 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f00582a07544ff1118ae1c905db15f7a1b7973dfbbf01f06db917627de837
18.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:49:56 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00010049f540d0d62659efad815113dbdb132a48e2d91ebf7fe3eef02922b0c7
27.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0049001cab6904de5d318e504b5b4196acc0d148efa340476ba66a99bdcfc75a