Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:35:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,048.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
6,516.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6516 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
12,957.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,479.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b
Net sender
Unknown type
6,477.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.24 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
6,516.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:35:01 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
6,335.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:33:49 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
18,048.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:36:12 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
181.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:32:38 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
369.51 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:37:24 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
441.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:31:26 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
123.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:38:35 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
208.35 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:30:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,479.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
91.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006f005dcea2ba541739c840bb69c64410cd83a968c5ab773e7f63d9c9d65d6a
6,479.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x002d00299bfc25bab1ce8a615269a5cb992b9c5cc3e93e3c0b2aafbb3903656a
4,999.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0023cad3c3826556b4f2418f40000d68683901f717aeda83a8d4cce929f2
6,477.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00420027a57c84ebf7e97871ed4f111c854397cc000c7c6f2e957c9b8753ad52