Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:33:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,851.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
14x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
6,335.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003Cadb1fbd4e3848FE7A960c81255F74E8c7D4D • 0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6336 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003Cadb1fbd4e3848FE7A960c81255F74E8c7D4D • 0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003Cadb1fbd4e3848FE7A960c81255F74E8c7D4D
Net sender
Unknown type
6,479.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,479.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
6,061.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,061.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
181.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:32:38 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
6,335.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:33:49 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
441.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:31:26 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
6,516.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:35:01 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
208.35 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:30:14 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
18,048.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:36:12 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
78.28 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:29:03 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
369.51 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:37:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,479.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003Cadb1fbd4e3848FE7A960c81255F74E8c7D4D
To: 0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
6,479.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:57 P.M.
From: 0x003Cadb1fbd4e3848FE7A960c81255F74E8c7D4D
To: 0x0071567520b561dfb7a0d1Ded8A8fe479463bD4b
Tx: 0x0019000b7b5cfe442275ea641d0060c0b06ef7f610c4b904a68839a120e5628c
36.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:57 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002a006ab74daa636e2cb59e5ce7e0f75a0eb8a791cfa663bbc3646a897c85c7
21.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c006d99461dd111d8cdf7f162e4918f5150819060345cd5ed23c407b0dd76
24.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0008000dd03a42e8036c17d813ddbd02b29c1e918dc839a9bf2c62670afbca98
46.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000200263580bb72a32e5b1bc07a3d63c830f4e32fdc4da1c5fe4a0cc63823d0
15.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00290019f54dbd3cc22b8fb02373c0642d81e204415c71df82c7fbce633f1464
102.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: 0x00297724F330309Fe02A551cC33e46EE3583bee0
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e0033c53feb830d014825eb43fa36f41abd2841877d34ad72ee9f2cee6683
64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00190041780dd4aae5429cc1daa79a1f05398461c13767abd1322dd1ee67165a
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0021001d897bbd3dea98bceb0d4ccfb6ad4cd367baa3b1f409efe1a16ddd885f
1,061.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321
Tx: 0x002b006624454a70d290c88a827d1d07e370b164ab58a2e25168f6de4c1043a8
