Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:10:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 793.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
16
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
793.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 794 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
384.97 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
371.3 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
146.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
126.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
112.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:09:56 P.M.
-1 min
53 tx
1,108.1 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:08:43 P.M.
+1 min
16 tx
793.72 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:11:07 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
751.66 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:07:31 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
568.02 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:12:18 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
140.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:06:19 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,227.66 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:13:30 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
546.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:05:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
146.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
83.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:53 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00270012bd45e83d6f93ca2982d237225960fea87966167421814e497d1b9dce
146.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0028001ba2796e8420122e54e554b5a9fbb1ca1d4eb5ac5d506b0e7650ef6418
4.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e21F7B1c0B3B83CeA217DF788fA0642BDF778
Tx: 0x002f000554335e1928f1073308fb7edd0a40160dabeaafc9b5bc7c8e4d58f3eb
11.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x0048007e06b2d3816965758ab919731b54a8839f60e1790d45f1272c4113d213
4.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x005f004b79958e171eb8deb01f1693b38996241084a3dfdd48f2d51f81fd4fce
6.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x004e00758bad1beadc6af2104c07aa46fe580e6bb0d40b7db8dd128564ca3d95
15.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x0024003090daa1eb6f24257244dc07eda95b068dc2d4b974b58651a683379ada
6.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Tx: 0x0039003f653212c1946d5860adc36153229cea9c10d8748d097530d1b8559c15
33.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0063003213d4cbb7d7ee1f5f24cf5a2e63bb293feca2d6e77d1f0cd0a45672e1
126.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004c003dbcdc62e8b92e4f308daf1cbfe5c3cb395069e6e9248986c42e3500a3
7.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x0068002f7eb53024d19ccb42ab8cd51777f978729a46a6086d9e2eeaeaca75cb
9.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
Tx: 0x0037001ecb26f35109dcfd84c0a1e8981ac4fd6590fe43f1a963121f0ae2f3d1
37.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:02 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0039007870ce24af09bf67f6ab644d97bd021e561fee6e10c0b7996c3c7650d1
80.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:02 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004e007c9f4d86d2e71167fc6f36ffa7c6bd9f2108ed518de642361c50b75251
107.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:02 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005b007719aa374113d38311de43a6251a20199afac760639cda4eaffeaca5c4
112.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:10:02 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004c005f67487cbcbfc8eb3bcfd08b99fa309db43a2a1180589f34846200cb75
