Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:05:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 140.78
Unexplained QUAI: 405.76
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.1x previous minute
3.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
546.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 547 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
82.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
82.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
57.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
546.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:05:07 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
491.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:03:56 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
140.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:06:19 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
471.33 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:02:44 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
77,057.72 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:01:33 P.M.
+3 min
51 tx
751.66 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:07:31 P.M.
+4 min
53 tx
1,108.1 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:08:43 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
227.09 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:00:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
82.92 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:05:45 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
82.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:05:45 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0003001106898fe27aa37de8d4aba7ad51a551af5fa2c1beea4e9636d993a421
57.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:05:10 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002a0035b9906351def895874408373388b74fbcd1c774b313d4b85488c25c02