Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:54:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
87% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 237.01
Unexplained QUAI: 36.85
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
273.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 274 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
89.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
56.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
54.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
273.86 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:54:23 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:53:12 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
1,044.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:52:00 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
597.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:55:35 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
166.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:50:48 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:56:46 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
77.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:49:37 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:57:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
89.16 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:54:26 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
54.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:54:26 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000e0023a0c57163d8d274a277e20be701cdb1d8c0465765995a9fb0ea35de95
56.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:54:26 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002e005ad0dfa1f6196c1a2b493819af2183f187d56964cd6fb42ee15aebfc96
37.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:54:26 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078003d4d624bbc5ae9db1d6648f7e2745f1b199f42f7b8b033bf6f57f34bbb
89.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:54:26 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00200026284df560ab3f32f5a9f5cd58f0a61101ec7906b1a688f6dd8862afba