Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,180.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C -> 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
746.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C → 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
2 repeated flows • 2,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:23:16 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
3,665.22 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:22:04 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
4,180.4 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:24:28 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,128.06 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:20:52 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
98.9 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:19:41 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
598.45 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:25:40 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:18:30 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
1,112.73 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:26:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
98.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00610056037a3b01627ff764796be7d37403baffeb5ebe9012c1f20358ba1b63
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
Tx: 0x000f0000ce5c2b5995466ae800f7fce89fbec421c0782bb628f43a01730ace49
697.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x007dAc827dCf5d7663c4bdC08BFa6aC0fc56eA7C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002e0043d9adae0ef1d75b61504ec7ddbd15aebd4363f93685083d918a4b1484
49.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00090054da3042382ca506d1afb940604758597945009a39eadf5fbf0e1dea0f
335 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x0026670588728380A876A1Ef25Fe7edfD81E4280
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Tx: 0x0061003411e704646a5f9432eb1752b0ed72c73e02c3a6e1c31a95dbf53ebef9
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0011004fe85e1874e5546c1eb72e66c2e5e5374a29274e452abe9526bc0e3f05
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:23:39 P.M.
From: 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x002e002ce3ae45a801325e1acbc3225f30ed092405c5ca8c557ec1737435853e