Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:21:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,447.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
35x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
3,447.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3448 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,029 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,029 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003bDe4362254b8f8e485A875852d03C31E4f597
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
97.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,029 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,128.06 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:20:52 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
98.9 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:19:41 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
3,665.22 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:22:04 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:18:30 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:23:16 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
4,180.4 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:24:28 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
303.53 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:17:17 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
1,235.25 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:16:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,029 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:21:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
97.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:21:54 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x001f0075ef563a72f8349c49c6ff38f84099dd3c597f7b3590febdcfe6da66b5
21.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:21:54 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x000600469301d2aca57dd90c4568607c3d95fc11a414210048825d90d77850bc
3,029 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:21:54 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0029d78014737EbdFC1A9Cac60F7b2a301f9294C
Tx: 0x000a007310cff4ac8dd6028fec7d28e3befb7baeeec2c3688bc787c6716eabeb
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:21:54 P.M.
From: 0x003bDe4362254b8f8e485A875852d03C31E4f597
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Tx: 0x004e006aec1af417dbf536ed3d546ff3bd57fcde32e606b9172f098f36a61ca6