Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:04:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
91% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 621.64
Unexplained QUAI: 63.69
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
685.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 685 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.
Top actors in this event
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
375 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
Net receiver
Unknown type
375 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
109.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
109.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
56.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
685.32 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:04:04 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
252.11 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:02:54 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
621.64 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:05:17 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:01:43 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
20,079.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:00:31 P.M.
+3 min
39 tx
1,010.44 QUAI • 48 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:06:30 P.M.
+4 min
16 tx
1,287.11 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:07:42 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
44,076.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:59:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
375 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:04:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
56.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:04:34 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00550064d7e3e4aceeda4da5d878f55cff6142253b0f5515b0bb04c8410dd00e
109.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:04:26 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001500394f8be14ce1d4dc242caabb1a17c69a8c6217e81e03224b95cc53baa0
34.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:04:26 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002c00190f2f9e0aa4e734ebadfd505004b19eb9e35364d5fcea95079ccd43ce
375 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:04:26 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
Tx: 0x00490039dbd5dc353949a9d6c3d1388d68251d1252ca3ffced2dfb5624c0f8f0
46.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:04:26 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
Tx: 0x001c00437a0c83bf537346a3d0a0fc31dbbd1f08a13ce14083f462f7b03d19d8