Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:52:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,149.38
Unexplained QUAI: 38,951.28
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
40,100.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 40101 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
950 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
950 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
147.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
102.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
51.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
40,100.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:52:08 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
30,693.18 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:50:56 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
45,371.98 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:53:20 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
127.86 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:49:44 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
20,853.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:48:33 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:54:32 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
1,190.61 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:55:43 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
20,033.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:47:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
43,994.3 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikePersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
950 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:52:20 A.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x005a001a870c29f9f078f3ff036bfe0458d13736bb74a09ea1778a6544c93478
51.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:52:06 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0061000f65c09bdeb51c965ff07adeccfdc05216618750da208433cc999804ab
45.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:52:06 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0068005d3aa71a4e4f287a62b2f2639039f8a9662f4f6f75b98dc5f833dce907
102.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:52:06 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004b002ce8702445bd65c89b06a739d6b68eb6b84985d992910975c9abc6a94d