Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:48:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
5% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 953.09
Unexplained QUAI: 19,899.94
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
20,853.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20853 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
825.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
582.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00437e195b886178900d9C8e49bc9535408aB9De
Net receiver
Unknown type
243.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
127.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
74.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
20,033.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:47:21 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
20,853.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:48:33 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
231.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:46:10 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
127.86 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:49:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
190,615.65 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:44:58 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
30,693.18 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:50:56 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,115.26 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:43:46 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
40,100.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:52:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
582.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:48:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
74.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:48:55 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00410046f46b7a7bd80e13bdac4223991603b6e8a07490c987cae1053a9f2db0
53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:48:55 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f00483d467baa95cc030e412418706b66c3df7685f9bb7e0aaccf21caed35
582.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:48:06 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
Tx: 0x0069000fcc889181e95dcd8c8ba97ea0df02a1f2e6044c19ebeb7bde457e2c44
243.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:48:06 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00437e195b886178900d9C8e49bc9535408aB9De
Tx: 0x00210064fc812fcf007ab9a61831f751be1d9cb72b0b7dad733db6231090a00a