Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:39:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,068.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
177x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
21,068.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21069 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net sender
Unknown type
14,871.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,871.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,949.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,949.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
146.4 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 5,949.79 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,548.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:38:59 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
119.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:37:47 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
71,205.11 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:40:11 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
58,741.26 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:36:35 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
30,238.54 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:41:23 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
50,080.57 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:35:23 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
138.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:42:34 A.M.
-5 min
17 tx
48,235.79 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:34:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,871.04 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:39:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
71.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004d002757ddd1ea7e0e0898526657501899dac98df9a57d4ec5051a8b1961c2
101.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004c007868ff2e3be71c49f1cd0a8ee2de6a8d0b8d6187f822c5e08ec6ea561f
74.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002500774f6db9a011d9fcb9c12e407c118855a8b0633a369559775cfe1d423e
5,949.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:39:06 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Tx: 0x004f005e7110f90c52e3e548bd58665cc1004abd5514994480da71cb96593d52
14,871.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001c003008b672e0b10faa48c62de3a6814a73148f69071a6a446bb35ca59515