Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:34:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,921.19
Unexplained QUAI: 30,314.6
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
238x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
3
17.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
48,235.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 48236 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
14,872.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,872.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
2,964 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,964 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
84.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 14,872.62 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
48,235.79 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:34:12 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
202.39 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:32:59 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
50,080.57 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:35:23 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
135.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:31:47 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:30:35 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate10 tx
58,741.26 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:36:35 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
119.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:37:47 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
20,175.52 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:29:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,872.62 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
84.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a00467794be642a17953e47739a06059f3f4cb04cf685b83da551a7104b36
14,872.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:03 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x0078006cc4a961461a4b908858f5990232868ac4a7d785cb704036619aa4ab55
2,964 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:03 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00300036ae165252ffe08aee971beda9447b33a533842e296fdbdbf3d2240ca8