Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:32:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 202.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
202.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 202 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
155.35 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
116.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
47.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
47.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
39.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
135.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:31:47 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:30:35 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
202.39 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:32:59 A.M.
+2 min
17 tx
48,235.79 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:34:12 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
20,175.52 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:29:24 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
50,080.57 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:35:23 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19.53 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:28:11 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
186.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:26:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
116.13 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:32:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
47.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:32:17 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001e0070b18bdf65566e683881093ccdf5f164ba3893c06eadf0792402a20352
116.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:32:17 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005d007dfe311238f4e0c3c591c6e16ae99206a675d2d2435291bc5abb8b0387
39.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:32:17 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b00042cf8c2da64dbbcd38cad508996d81daf447016937d98a5c231bad858