Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:25:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 186.44
Unexplained QUAI: 28,070.47
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
245x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
28,256.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 28257 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
108.89 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
77.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
77.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
51.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
34.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
28,267.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:24:36 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
28,256.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:25:48 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
115.32 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:23:25 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
186.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:26:59 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
648.67 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:22:13 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19.53 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:28:11 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:21:01 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
20,175.52 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:29:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
77.55 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:25:54 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
77.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00190026752c18d6da1f692fe79d3fa7ac4ee06a60fb73e93e46f0ed355f408c
22.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002100127ea1d1b8fbbe5e44247003bdf8d12ac85759a4e77347f7e4ac4b5374
51.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0053001f4e8ae538b01c9f8d5024950b16848c813a30a64b6549990965d5b513
34.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006c005970da7556fa585ecff6a0b3e6f782d39002cc93b8cf369e61a001e016