Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
54% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 894.14
Unexplained QUAI: 774.62
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
1,668.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1669 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
726.94 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
198.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
109.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
106.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 726.94 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,668.76 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:12:38 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
1,687.72 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:10:15 A.M.
+2 min
14 tx
894.14 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:13:50 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
1,687.98 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:09:03 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate10 tx
4,473.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:15:02 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
163.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:07:51 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
76.21 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
198.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
28.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00790064b3fc67b36ec82579695abe56a909eceb9c306c9b0def1e958d745085
87.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003e0074397b1b7b4ae7b64efba9651c542624f13a04f39a26bb2bb3a4894c17
109.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d005605fc5d570b9259b45bb5fe0aa5e37b0fe1b05f9d970dd47a89c4868d
105.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x007d058f18D9d2633e892cebc9aDf9D8988997E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d0043a1541184426c9c4d03e5736cc52abc9e7010a3a4aa94d4f53bf0717d
106.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00500079765e5efd34c7dcc95a20aa50aaeed2ec16f20847aea528fa475c2143
102.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550003e743584295236c41dd4125a1ff1f7f488c64ed76c1d668056bbf2dbf
198.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c001ba2c8ff2f73e562a20f17735001d7ce82b5db9e90287997c1fd1d2024
104.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035004cde9e978b2c53a0676ab99ff83a0450ca43e89edba451232a163e1073
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000b0051fe4a07373ffaafdee6fba2c0d793380da139b9dfbccba477fe0ec197
11.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00450053948ca6d2fb89232bf47b086c93072b0e4ce4f6c1f86f895d08168750
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x006e003ad0dec5e3e845c380938afbacfd055424556bb242aec378d2d8fa0cea
6.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0071005316027632038c1b362052db6e142fc5640b5a3da7d4b78ce2f8fe3159
13.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003500376f655b882b9981636083e3ace8f4f58d39f02388ac2537797a3dfa8d
11.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0039006423c101b5f28fb2e4421b2ffe3fef3f2c1a22a9187786236ebc3639c1