Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:11:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,668.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,422.61 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
Net sender
Unknown type
1,009.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
413.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
184.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
119.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,422.61 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
-1 min
17 tx
1,687.72 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:10:15 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,687.98 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:09:03 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
1,668.76 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:12:38 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
163.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:07:51 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
894.14 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:13:50 A.M.
-4 min
52 tx
1,335.73 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:06:39 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate10 tx
4,473.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:15:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,009.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
413.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d004f123677088b6a353199e9abfdbb727bfb561596c5120487bba80ed1cc
1,009.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050003f36109e3559d3a083e4dfe0e59b9970b8cb1fa2eefc9f723a9ead71bd
119.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0003000c48fd9dc048164040bfda19929e4e22d62523774fe248df8af6a8a16f
58.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x001600723e387541c000f564cb998d28f6b0e8bf1b416d426e1b6b1b744533cd
65.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0025002c3ca7515313ade218fe710dafcb1b5839d5383291cb165dd068f15d46
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00750015bc99a8b1a425b49ab85e4bf05c31fb5314308803316d3b8dce17d3a3
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: StratumX miner
0x00215254D1dDdd5D90671bA981688197A2735c1f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x004b0038c7b222528b7930cbadfb96c18237b6855d9b540d241a69ac0689de19