Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:09:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,687.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0.26
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
10x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
17
32.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
68
Asset volume
1,687.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 1688 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,667.21 QUAI across 16 visible rows
0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,010.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
162.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
147.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate52 tx
1,687.98 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:09:03 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
163.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:07:51 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
1,687.72 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:10:15 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,335.73 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:06:39 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:11:26 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:05:27 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
1,668.76 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:12:38 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
468.95 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:04:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,010.31 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
4.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006745Db42371c7dBCab3dEAf37839b33dFf3FE7
Tx: 0x007a004437d47773f3e956e0402754b73b982a92a601de523ddc52b1df4cb94f
4.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x002e0075daf0348d8246a5567b419f505d84cfbb071a94dc7b63554620be886b
4.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x004a002e3c582b36c1d3301dec1471e8fa06de22bcf860f3b3796eca09326c82
116.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0034005b796e523b8474f00984a966e42ca90bd4daa251949aad3b11db4f031f
37.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x005e001433493a4305f5775a691fd9657f38ef97886486a4f679b61b47fe5a39
1,010.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
Tx: 0x002a0057638f39c2176b8935af3331d832855b8ad63dab1f5ea0d69842e9ea0f
16.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0067562F5323d54c3dC97A24ed303F3717811610
Tx: 0x004f00579fa8535e7797596cc27dfcdbd22768654276407185e702784d147bba
13.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x00380068bce6b78dcfe70bb1e442ac05230ddaf65001017ab8663c77258ce562
162.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0073005450563636eb85d709733aee50645c154e77b4e8dd8cd213c03dfb8596
100.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Tx: 0x00270020df3a607ec9cc8ebf854af76dfe3b8e2c03f416204e0ade6e908310ca
9.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x005c001cc64cd2a936aba7154f065d09f27d8608476733b9ad18b151f2da5157
4.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x004b00084022c6da08d99e20c1fa2d47970a77391e639d78faf6b96ac632d313
147.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004a004d15dba3d97f9975fb03122dd917785ce2f7312a6adb1222e13713a9cb
7.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x006a0017a52c524084c0026cd6c44ab3a2cece048666ef3ec8a3da370073698f
23.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0011002a3ddbbcc7cf49d09a17589d8f38b190b0f27cda68358620eefa473266
5.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x004d000d402db22d27f31a9715e797a6f8d4e673a12d33fe3beb178b6c0e7ab6
20.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001f001abf95ca7236cff4907feb789e30c28ee33dd85af90c87d813cf7b31c1
