Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:57:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
79% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 329.96
Unexplained QUAI: 87.97
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
4.2x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
417.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45 • 0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 418 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45 • 0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (21% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
43.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
417.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:57:04 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:55:53 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
329.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:58:16 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
12,902.94 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:54:41 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
393.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:59:28 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
246.74 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:53:30 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
289.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:00:40 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate10 tx
31,512.19 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:52:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:57:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
43.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:57:58 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007d003342c0581419aed30beef7c2e3822e6cf27815f8aa1a389e197541d6ae
36.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:57:58 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001a005093155b1a6ffeac1af019b7049c5d5eb167e09128a6f8644d33f55cc7
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:57:58 A.M.
From: 0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0059004ac168e2d908237481ab7246d743add39132b052e832d0c387cca2ca0c
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:57:58 A.M.
From: 0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x003a0009ef899d87d66956fac473e57980a1b28ed52314ce7dcfdfa71fe98f01
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:57:58 A.M.
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0005000de267ebfd5fab4454704efc83539fb835d4180ece68d4f1d415b77c94