Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,059.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
246.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005E596FbDFe0A92c3980eB95a422f9306E02FD6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 247 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005E596FbDFe0A92c3980eB95a422f9306E02FD6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
12,782.52 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005E596FbDFe0A92c3980eB95a422f9306E02FD6
Net sender
Unknown type
4,248.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,961.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,368.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
2,204.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 12,782.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate10 tx
31,512.19 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:52:18 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
246.74 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:53:30 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
175.39 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:51:06 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
12,902.94 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:54:41 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
383.63 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:49:55 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:55:53 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
48.88 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:48:43 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
417.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:57:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,248.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005E596FbDFe0A92c3980eB95a422f9306E02FD6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
30.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:49 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0067007a83a9601987f508ef0b9cdf718fb85dafd88552d642d7b9cb3de1c71d
3,961.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:49 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d005a81f0d30aac183ab088e0ebbaf72efdd8d7807f2e91e6e4644fbbb95f
2,204.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:49 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c006459ec45f36588e82a29630d54b09ec460b128bdd65420f442ceb52ac3
2,368.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:49 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001600248450684739e160b3b8e6d00e188e13efe9d033c00615777a3978c12a
4,248.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:49 A.M.
From: 0x005E596FbDFe0A92c3980eB95a422f9306E02FD6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013002285f90096861844ce86d05e7a02e859c13dbfaad97d86c739dd505645
81.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0042001f9dda0c825bc6cf5d4dbdfca0fa41d7c0caf6c907cc1602683a5e56c9
114.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00330075020f0358dbbc75e98715e2a5cd9d8a7c5803fb028ddbd1754b73452c
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x00400069bb762b974ed38a60a9d3b6e28810b023934e26d3d22ec3c0a28a2b00