Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:50:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 175.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
175.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 175 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
118.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
94.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
57.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
24.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
383.63 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:49:55 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
48.88 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:48:43 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
175.39 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:51:06 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,042.68 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:47:32 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate10 tx
31,512.19 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:52:18 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
92.99 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:46:20 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
246.74 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:53:30 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,198.97 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:45:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
94.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:50:24 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
24.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006f00342bb9c5e95b119b352acf2ebef832bb5d72f244f9d6dfcf23c4da1289
57.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:50:28 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0062002de0dd80dea9b0465016dcba55bbb6bfc02eb51e46ff2f4d44071c8c25
94.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:50:24 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006900024f50fecc9328d954e2cfdcc1b970ea2304444372cb84dbf3f7bc1ca5