Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:21:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
44.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 44 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
22.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
21.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
44.18 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:21:08 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
69.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:19:56 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:22:20 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
348.37 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:18:45 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
29.24 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:17:32 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
309.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:23:31 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate6 tx
474.19 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:24:43 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
103.01 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:16:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
22.88 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:21:05 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
22.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:21:05 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002900673f8e123d319d0970e28f3138f9d957882517439e28a72a973e5a59af
21.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:21:05 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b0053902c09128a2782bf0d616d557c25ea555d8fc2279ae7190249617747