Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:12:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 171.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
100.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 101 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
88.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
42.83 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
27.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
16.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
24 tx
1,829.12 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:11:34 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
100.9 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:12:46 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
171.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:10:22 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
178.52 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:13:57 A.M.
-3 min
56 tx
1,350.99 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:09:10 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
50,117.47 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:15:09 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:07:58 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
103.01 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:16:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
88.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:21 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
27.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:52 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00190048190db278d05760acd547d5450a817c2a6dd42da956de24bca8e79ac1
11.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:52 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00110065e3f4a08f194d6dd3419af0af54b2d67e5fb0e4c026de363ee5065b1c
16.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:52 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a0047383433ccde22fb6712c306afd07be8a50935708fd55510a68a624221
14.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:52 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004400639d0694cd299da7c61d8c4721c38709b37f67ea6990ecee81ee594335
88.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00760002e16eec70edfa66a0982bcc6c6619b32792e51c68c50db56d8b294e5e
11.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005c0076db27aa167a79dbb9d4659abd47dc8a339bd92e113b56ff98cf3af6de