Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 8:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 8:55:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 84.65
Unexplained QUAI: 213.38
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.4x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
298.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 298 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
84.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
65.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
19.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
298.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:55:07 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
206.68 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:53:55 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
60,080.65 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:56:18 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,128.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:52:44 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:51:32 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
95.13 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:57:30 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
56.52 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:58:41 A.M.
-5 min
5 tx
258.57 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:50:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
65.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:12 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
19.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:58 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0027003aae531f27428a1b80c1d1955a543abad2a57f26855c4fe9606686241d
65.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:12 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078000b3c2d94e21dd81a08900d6fb196242cb15e4fb40fdfeffde6160f19c7