Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 8:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 8:51:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 128.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
128.4 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
73.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
55.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
258.57 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:50:20 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:51:32 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,384.5 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:49:08 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,128.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:52:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,058.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:47:57 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
206.68 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:53:55 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
103.53 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:46:46 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
298.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:55:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
73.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:51:33 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
55.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:51:33 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00360012fe98feb3fcf420c28554846e53d66279f28ffdfad8549933613e73a6
73.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:51:33 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0012001447c0ae80f4be1612721a774422f3b76fb47a2761bba36983857ced99
