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Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 8:49:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 8:49:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
87% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,209.5
Unexplained QUAI: 175
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
5.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,384.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x0000BB87455A691aC68Ec3E3FF9CF226e3CE5195.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1385 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x0000BB87455A691aC68Ec3E3FF9CF226e3CE5195.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000BB87455A691aC68Ec3E3FF9CF226e3CE5195
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
105.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
71.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.22 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0000BB87455A691aC68Ec3E3FF9CF226e3CE5195

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
33.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:54 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003000655c5db077a8fd26781baedf7795054ee40328a202b2cd91d6400950b2
51.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:26 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x00240024a4fc1ef3411aa76dbbfde6789626fa5bc54c50f0d1bb17d10fb7e8db
39.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:09 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007c00365e23f6553a8809a1f25245af46dab68fde143cc3e9e5432d9b73035d
31.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:05 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007700164588e959fd67cc97f711718ace43f6cd5cc45760d4f4b98d1907b2d6
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:02 A.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0000BB87455A691aC68Ec3E3FF9CF226e3CE5195
Tx: 0x003e0004d576c7b0663dbdcc3c333fa6e73761f40554891a2b8982f18f7fb61f
53.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:49:02 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x000a000906220c182397b0f4a527a530aa6dfea415af203cd9d6f125298134df