Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 8:10:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:11:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
87% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 655.34
Unexplained QUAI: 97.78
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
15
93.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
753.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 753 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
655.34 QUAI across 15 visible rows
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
202.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
150.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
149.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:09:44 A.M.
-1 min
51 tx
883.39 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:08:33 A.M.
+1 min
16 tx
753.12 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:10:56 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
270.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:12:08 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
504.09 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:07:18 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
19.47 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:13:20 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
9,293.65 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:06:06 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
30 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:04:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
202.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
4.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0009872c2ba931482d4EE8041365832E020807C2
Tx: 0x0065005527b52e587c141f2e8db741ea470037549364006239a1605c7e4f1e8f
16.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x0000001413bb2baf75a7861a928c863960046290245eefddb6b974c76b257626
30.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0009007a209d04b8b6e54c46e9f6c201d64f9a6a43e1e7dda3447bcab55c47d3
7.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007812e263F6bd7e1dC20Ecd892964ba22310554
Tx: 0x003700058e956787d7f0d23d831f8fe08d6c58e84b4691204eb41849e3a303da
5.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001E6d34B2c76A6dB0ae13eF0DBE8F1Ed7a85ad
Tx: 0x002b004301e26ec942234a14ca8890181ce49b2d64ab0bb01f7e903170825556
202.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x0003007202d9d00f855945c6ceb78117af9ff3a76ceffcbfafa03df274e9382e
8.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x006c0039f2e28d7690d8f86df1eecc0c1f6c35c629e8e1b689acd3cc4c5cf56e
6.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x0052007a516a3673029f89dbd9ac4e9b228c8f1797d445a5c224e1451f6fe9be
7.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x000700216fe2a3fe6852b6a3568a5775116084aef038e0fd0ae6b234cecb8d68
6.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x001b000a92d0efae25c2c88a18d7dcd40f52b0f9ca43d320f20f1ed7bd47a522
26.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x0053004278a180901753b76bcedf40c1c5f8aa0779ef0dd6af5a222b2a650c65
150.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x006e0007a0a855752e4a2415ba67c434e80695cb8ca09280e23a701db949380a
149.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x005400743ae3815fecb64e80a0d197194444c064786070c31ad0730591f7d114
7.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00441D0859a3998b05671c490Dd7e42f45E3a5a7
Tx: 0x000c002d9e01fd3b37204120f0f9274e62d2885d4290b15b264efaf9771b8f10
27.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0075002e832cd9d8f64362e68fa08d8a315823f8c85854407c419bcc67cae2de
