Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:53:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
57% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 60.7
Unexplained QUAI: 46.19
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
106.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 107 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
60.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
106.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:53:13 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
98.24 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:52:01 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1,300 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:54:24 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
39.19 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:50:49 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:49:38 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:55:36 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:56:47 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
10,445.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:48:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
60.7 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:53:10 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
60.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:53:10 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00470000a067eb70fc9d9c197979a1fb143276ac247c4eda7663931a77244482