Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:22:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 251.98
Unexplained QUAI: 19,856.36
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
55x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
20,108.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20108 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
146.46 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
105.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
61.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
52.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
20,108.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:22:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:20:59 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
366.12 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:23:22 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,592 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:19:46 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:18:35 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
959.2 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:24:33 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
12,233.46 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:25:45 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,845.67 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:17:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
105.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0034006242269c0cec912ba95d4bcd352d0c5fa6524025b72403b9e6e772dec2
61.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0065004fab7bc071c7a5d274d3d6022d836f61344b7ab92c6c5f833a5dcfdf6c
6.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00233D0676F3f67302cffF9D9aB9291Eb3dc7883
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0041002bae2983017717fe7482b5d3ceae24662b1a6e06217ff754d26114aab4
52.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00040037de297f817abe40def0244043ee19606af5920c5d7c2a644b105a846f
4.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0032001b8cc1c8cbbd51fc8381898d58c8d7cba78722bf70ecee56b51b141ffe
21.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x0029A2c00775fB306bb7b191693d66B7D9CdaEa4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0066001905af9cce905c637cf10c5ff47c167abaf024d35d0fb85a8485f21eaa