Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,644.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
5.2x above local average
94x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,644.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0068460EF1379314829fBD22a1891aA5fD2E6276.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4645 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0068460EF1379314829fBD22a1891aA5fD2E6276.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,644.78 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0068460EF1379314829fBD22a1891aA5fD2E6276
Net sender
Unknown type
2,007.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Net sender
Unknown type
653.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
Net sender
Unknown type
605.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
Net sender
Unknown type
490 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,644.78 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
49.44 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:11:26 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
4,644.78 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:12:37 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
81.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:10:15 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
76.4 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:13:49 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
247.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:09:02 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:15:00 A.M.
-4 min
25 tx
1,951.64 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:07:51 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
99.84 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:16:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,007.46 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0068460EF1379314829fBD22a1891aA5fD2E6276
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
490 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017002c1b0463279e8052ccb90277ad7adddf8d36cd2e321a4ebfd254523acf
416.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670032deddb78948328b8fa81e977c7d9cfb989d7215ff8ece24542a694999
605.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c004a2ac072585956c25ae9d44591ef4875d023bc1ee6d826e95f630de644
236.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0005EF22Dff611f376446762c42A72565b9550D2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006400157ea751eca2c1c20d9bbc4627f0ce8c17ece3f19fd671a0b40878c488
653.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790027e970b9bde454594fe3da04207e3ea8602fd7b654640e63d5db38f487
2,007.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0068460EF1379314829fBD22a1891aA5fD2E6276
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e004880fb35b654f4c1d9cedd00d473687688fb139a80b0e841d17e19e774
235.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0001de111c2a95c43834F13193c63c35976d8f37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00190045646cd5bd6115ab26a051c5bcbf02b348c89cea51ade7926b5546fc5c