Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:06:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 290.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
290.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 290 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
208.35 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
108.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
100.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
36.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 208.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate65 tx
44,019.14 QUAI • 79 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:05:27 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
290.47 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:06:39 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
755.07 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:04:15 A.M.
+2 min
25 tx
1,951.64 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:07:51 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:03:03 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
247.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:09:02 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
44.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:01:51 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
81.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:10:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
108.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
31.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x003d007712c0af234e2bc9e34f4e7ba646e4d12cacfd6e7cb3f192abbaa6f4e5
36.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0053007a372a2905b5d1791f656d61fbda19cd0523b757724ca081c71a5ed8e3
108.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c006309ca05f42cad9a21cd104a7afe26c4d7a1f2c2214adc447eee940be5
100.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000552cf2f1fb9ffa8933bd80834310e91b70d98e128fb1a22dc8820a0633
6.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004f006dcacafe8885ef600e6d79c856df9f6597bd7d1619f59f785962c959fb
7.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:06:33 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003d0011bfc64f72e35369fc282b2d565ece216aafbfa68ae2c5608c11ad796b