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Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 6:05:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 6:05:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 43,984.58

Unexplained QUAI: 34.56

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume

Relative context

7.4x above local average

58x previous minute

152x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

98.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

44,019.14 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 44019 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 50

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.

K1 Mining pool -> 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 64 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:05:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 64 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

22,769.99 QUAI across 13 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81

Net sender

Unknown type

19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49

Net receiver

Unknown type

19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a

Net receiver

Unknown type

9,425.09 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76

Net receiver

Unknown type

7,865 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

K1 Mining pool → 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11

2 repeated flows • 490.72 QUAI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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64 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 65. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.